FC
Fortive Corp (FTV)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 continuing operations delivered revenue of $1.02B (-0.4% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $288M (28.4% margin), and adjusted EPS of $0.58; consolidated adjusted EPS was $0.90 at the high-end of guidance .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, Fortive slightly missed on adjusted EPS ($0.58 vs $0.593*) but modestly beat on revenue ($1.016B vs $1.013B*); management cited late-quarter demand deferrals tied to tariff uncertainty, constrained government spend, and healthcare reimbursement changes .
- Guidance introduced for “new Fortive” (post-Ralliant spin): FY 2025 adjusted EPS $2.50–$2.60, with tariff impact expected to be fully mitigated by Q4; Q3 EPS modeled slightly below Q2 and Q4 meaningfully higher, aided by FX tailwinds, lower interest expense, and a low Q4 tax rate .
- Catalysts: backlog conversion at Fluke, normalization of government procurement, stabilization in healthcare equipment capex, and clarity on tariff countermeasures; spin completion and capital redeployment (debt paydown, buybacks) support multiple/FCF narrative .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Pivotal” quarter: completed Ralliant spin-off and launched “new Fortive,” with consolidated adjusted EPS at the high-end of guidance and strong free cash flow generation .
- IOS segment expanded adjusted EBITDA margin to 33.8% (+50 bps YoY) despite tariff pressures, supported by cost discipline and higher-margin software growth .
- Management reiterated confidence: “medium-term financial framework we shared at our recent Investor Day remains firmly intact,” with tariff headwinds expected to be fully mitigated by Q4 .
What Went Wrong
- Late-June demand deferrals reduced revenue by ~$30M below internal expectations, driven by tariff-related pricing uncertainty at Fluke and constrained state/local government spending impacting Gordian “use-it-or-lose-it” behavior .
- Healthcare equipment capex deferrals (ASP sterilization and Fluke Health QA devices) tied to reimbursement policy changes pressured AHS revenue (-1.3% YoY, -1.9% core), though AHS software outperformed .
- Tariffs created a ~$0.02 adjusted EPS headwind in Q2 net of countermeasures; adjusted gross margins were flat YoY as pricing and mix gains offset tariff costs .
Financial Results
Fortive Continuing Operations (YoY)
Consolidated Totals (trend; includes Precision Technologies)
Note: Continuing operations (new Fortive) exclude Precision Technologies (Ralliant). Consolidated figures include PT pre-spin and are not strictly comparable to continuing ops.
Segment Breakdown – Continuing Operations
KPIs – Continuing Operations
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “The second quarter of 2025 was pivotal for Fortive… we completed our spin-off of Ralliant… Despite uncertainty related to trade, healthcare and government spending policy… we delivered strong earnings and free cash flow… The medium-term financial framework… remains firmly intact.”
- CFO: “We finished the month approximately $30 million below our expectations… Adjusted gross margins roughly flat YoY… tariff costs created a roughly $0.02 headwind to EPS.”
- CFO: “We now expect the gross tariff impact… approximately $40–$55M in the second half of 2025… $80–$120M annualized… Assuming tariff conditions continue… we expect gross tariffs to be mitigated fully by the fourth quarter.”
- CEO: “Our new leadership team is focused on executing our Fortive Accelerated strategy… disciplined capital allocation… build investor trust.”
Q&A Highlights
- Phasing and EPS cadence: Q3 EPS slightly below Q2, Q4 meaningfully higher due to fully-phased tariff countermeasures, FX tailwinds, lower interest, and a single-digit Q4 tax rate .
- Segment dynamics: IOS backlog expected to burn over H2; AHS growth similar to Q2 given tougher comps; government procurement normalizing but timing uncertain .
- Regional outlook: NA strong POS; Western Europe/APAC flattish; China showing signs of bottoming as tariff clarity improves .
- Capital allocation: ~$1.15B dividend from Ralliant used for ~$725M debt paydown; remaining for buybacks; bolt-on M&A “open for business” with elevated strategic/financial scrutiny .
- Cost structure: ~50% of stranded costs already addressed; further efficiency initiatives to reallocate dollars to highest use .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q2 2025: Adjusted EPS slight miss; revenue modest beat. Q1 2025: Adjusted EPS in line; revenue below consensus (consolidated scope). Q3 context: management expects Q3 EPS below Q2 and Q4 stronger; S&P currently indicated Q3 actual EPS at $0.68 vs consensus $0.569* and revenue $1.027B vs $1.007B*, post-quarter reporting. Values retrieved from S&P Global.* [GetEstimates]
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Backlog normalization and policy clarity are near-term swing factors: expect Fluke backlog burn and improved Gordian activity as “use-it-or-lose-it” dynamics normalize; watch hospital capex resumptions post-reimbursement clarity .
- Tariff headwinds quantified and mitigation plan credible: pricing, supply chain shifts, and productivity initiatives set to fully offset by Q4—supportive of margin/EPS recovery trajectory .
- New Fortive’s FCF/margin profile remains intact: TTM FCF up 14% YoY to $939M; IOS margin expansion and AHS software resilience underpin quality of earnings .
- Capital redeployment strengthens equity case: dividend from Ralliant used to delever; remaining proceeds for buybacks; disciplined bolt-on M&A to enhance growth/recurrence without overpaying .
- Guidance simplification: annual adjusted EPS framework with detailed phasing aids modeling; expect Q4 strength on FX, tax, and interest tailwinds .
- Segment mix supports durability: software and recurring revenue contributions offset hardware cyclicality in both IOS and AHS, supporting medium-term margin expansion .
- Monitor regional cadence: NA remains robust; Western Europe/APAC flattish; China stabilization could provide incremental tailwind if tariff clarity persists .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Q2 2025 Press Releases
- Ralliant spin-off completion and new CEO appointment; commentary on late-quarter demand pressures and consolidated adjusted EPS near mid-point of guidance .
- Q2 2025 earnings press release: summary financials and continuing-ops framing; FY 2025 adjusted EPS guidance for new Fortive .